Refinancing in a Rising-Rate/Rising-Property-Value Market
(Last of Three)
(Last of Three)
While rising interest rates have sharply reduced the number of
mortgage borrowers who can refinance into a lower rate, rising home
prices create opportunities for some borrowers to refinance into
mortgages that are less costly in other respects. Previous articles
looked at refinancing a mortgage that is burdened by mortgage insurance,
or by a second (“piggyback”) mortgage, into a new mortgage that has
neither. This article considers a third option, which is to refinance in
order to consolidate short-term debts.
This appears to be one of the most attractive options a mortgage
borrower may have. Yet of the three approaches to refinancing
considered in this series of articles, this is the trickiest and the
easiest to get wrong.
Multiple Options: Homeowners with one
mortgage and high-cost short-term debt can refinance that mortgage with
cash-out in an amount sufficient to pay off the short-term debt. (Note:
“cash-out” means that the new mortgage amount will be larger than the
outstanding balance of the old one). Alternatively, they can take out a
new second mortgage to pay off the short-term debt, and leave the first
mortgage alone.
Homeowners who already have 2 mortgages along with short-term debt also have two options:
-
They can refinance the second mortgage with cash-out to consolidate the short-term debt, leaving the first mortgage alone.
-
They can refinance both mortgages into a new first mortgage that also includes the short–term debt.
Note that refinancing the first
mortgage alone is not a good option because the first
mortgage lender requires the borrower to obtain permission
of the second mortgage lender, without which the second
mortgage becomes the first mortgage. Getting permission can
be a hassle.
Calculators for Assessing Options: I have two
calculators on my web site designed to deal with these
two situations. These are:
Calculator 1b:
Debt Consolidation Calculator For Home
Owners With One Mortgage.
Calculator 1c: Debt Consolidation Calculator For Home
Owners With Two Mortgages.
The calculators provide the information about each
option that is needed to make the correct decision. This
includes the total monthly payment, which consists of
mortgage payments, mortgage insurance premiums if any,
and non-mortgage debt payments if any. Borrowers on
tight budgets must be concerned that the monthly payment
be affordable, but it should not be the major
determinant of their choice.
The second type of information the calculators
provide about all the options is their total cost over a
period specified by the user. If the user’s time horizon
is, say, 10 years, the total cost of each option is the
sum of the monthly payments over 10 years including lost
interest, less the tax savings and reduction in total
debt over that period.
Minimizing total cost should be the borrower's major
objective because cost minimization is the path to early
debt retirement. This measure should be used both to
determine whether to refinance, and if so, which of the
options to adopt.
Avoid Payment Myopia: A single-minded focus on
the monthly payment can lead borrowers to a bad
decision. As an example, Marie has a $358,788 balance on
her 3.5% first mortgage secured by a home now worth
$600,000, but she owes $50,000 on credit cards with an
average interest charge of 24%. Marie wants to rid
herself of the high-cost credit card debt, the question
being how best to do it.
With recent appreciation, she now has enough equity
in her house to refinance her mortgage with sufficient
cash-out to pay off the credit cards, paying 4.5% and 2
points on the new first mortgage. The alternative is a
new second mortgage for $50,000 at 7.5% and 2 points,
leaving the first mortgage as it is.
From a monthly payment perspective, consolidating the
short-term debt by refinancing is more attractive,
reducing her total monthly payment from $2796 to $2113.
Consolidating in a new second mortgage would result in a
total payment of $2153.
From a cost perspective, however, taking a new second
mortgage is the better deal. Over the next 10 years,
total cost would be $144,000 in the refinance case
compared to $117,000 in the second mortgage case. At the
end of the 10 years, Marie would owe $38,000 less if she
took the second mortgage rather than refinancing the
first.
Concluding Comment: The reason that
refinancing is not the best solution in this case is
that the interest rate on a new first mortgage is higher
than the rate on the existing mortgage. As a result, in
order to reduce the rate on $50,000 of debt by
refinancing, Marie would be obliged to increase the rate
on $358,788 of debt.