To Avoid Outliving Your Money, Take a HECM Reverse Mortgage
Before Interest Rates Rise
Financial planners are assiduously courting seniors whose
wealth is large enough to generate attractive fees for the
planner who gets to manage it, but not large enough to
eliminate the possibility t hat
the senior will run out of money.
A favorite planning tactic is to calculate an annual
asset liquidation plan that is consistent with a target
probability of running out – 3 to 4% are numbers I have
seen.
The problem is that a 3-4% probability of becoming
impoverished at an advanced age is not acceptable to many if
not most seniors. We purchase insurance policies to protect
ourselves against hazards that have lower probabilities of
occurrence than those.
But seniors who have equity in their homes have another
option. They can use the HECM reverse mortgage program to
generate an income stream that becomes larger the longer
they live. It is urgent to act now because the window for
doing these deals will begin to close when interest rates
begin their inevitable rise.
This use of the HECM reverse mortgage program as a type of
insurance policy employs the credit line feature of the
program. The
senior uses her borrowing power to draw the largest line
available, and lets the line sit unused until she needs it.
The longer the senior lives, the longer the credit line sits
unused, and the larger it becomes.
While her financial
assets are gradually being depleted, her credit line is
getting larger. She draws on the line if she needs the
money, otherwise the equity in her house will pass to her
estate.
Why the urgency?
The size of the initial HECM credit lines that can be
drawn are inversely related to interest rates, while
the growth rate of existing unused lines is directly
related to rates. Hence, a senior with a specified amount of
equity gets the maximum insurance coverage by taking out the
HECM while interest rates are still low, and letting it sit
unused as rates rise in the future.
Interest rates have a much larger impact on the initial
credit line a senior can command than his age, as illustrate
d in Table 1. The senior of 62 with $200,000 of equity in
his home can command an initial credit line of $97,800 at
the current rate of 5%. If he waits for interest rates to
begin their inevitable rise, the credit line will drop
precipitously.
At 10%, the initial line available to the same borrower
would be $19,000, or 80% less. A borrower of 92 at 10%
cannot command as large a line as a borrower of 62 at
5%.
Table 1: Initial Credit Line on an Adjustable-Rate HECM at
Different Expected Interest Rates and Borrower Ages
(Senior Has
Initial Homeowner Equity of $200,000)
Expected Interest Rate |
Age of Borrower |
|||
62 |
72 |
82 |
92 |
|
5% |
$97,800 |
$111,200 |
$127,800 |
$143,000 |
6% |
$72,000 |
$86,400 |
$104,800 |
$122,600 |
7% |
$55,400 |
$69,600 |
$88,800 |
$108,600 |
8% |
$40,200 |
$55,000 |
$75,200 |
$96,000 |
9% |
$28,800 |
$42,400 |
$62,400 |
$83,600 |
10% |
$19,000 |
$32,000 |
$51,400 |
$72,600 |
Note: Calculations assume an origination fee of $3,000 and
other settlement costs of $4,000.
Keep in mind that mortgage rates were 10% or higher during
most of the period 1979-1990.
An unused credit line grows from month to month at a rate
equal to the then-current rate on the HECM plus the mortgage
insurance premium. The higher future rates are, therefore
the more rapidly the unused line grows. This is illustrated
in Table 2, which shows the unused line of the senior from
Table 1 on the assumption that he moved fast enough to get
an initial line of $97,800 based on the 5% rate. If rates
stayed at 5% for 30 years, the borrower would have a line of
about $600,000 at that time. But if the rate was 7%, his
line would exceed a million, and if the rate was 10%, the
line would exceed two million.
Table 2: Future Unused Credit Line on an Adjustable-Rate
HECM at Different ARM Interest Rates
(Senior
of 62 With Initial Homeowner Equity of $200,000)
Initial Line
Based on Rate of 5% |
Rate on ARM Over 30 Years |
Unused Line After 10 Years |
Unused Line After 20 Years |
Unused Line After 30 Years |
$97,800 |
5% |
$177,700 |
$381,400 |
$618,200 |
$97,800 |
6% |
$195,300 |
$402,400 |
$829,100 |
$97,800 |
7% |
$214,600 |
$488,400 |
$1,111,300 |
$97,800 |
8% |
$235,600 |
$$592,100 |
$1,487,100 |
$97,800 |
9% |
$258,300 |
$716,800 |
$1,989,900 |
$97,800 |
10% |
$282,300 |
$865,000 |
$2,650, 400 |
Note: Calculations assume an origination fee of $3,000 and
other settlement costs of $4,000.
HECM borrowers who act while interest rates are still low
get the benefit of high initial credit lines, and once they
have the HECM they benefit from rising rates in the future
because their unused lines will grow at the current rate.
This unusual opportunity has never existed before, and may
not ever exist again.