To Avoid Outliving Your Money, Take a HECM Reverse Mortgage Before Interest Rates Rise

December 12, 2014

Financial planners are assiduously courting seniors whose wealth is large enough to generate attractive fees for the planner who gets to manage it, but not large enough to eliminate the possibility t hat  the senior will run out of money.  A favorite planning tactic is to calculate an annual asset liquidation plan that is consistent with a target probability of running out – 3 to 4% are numbers I have seen.

The problem is that a 3-4% probability of becoming impoverished at an advanced age is not acceptable to many if not most seniors. We purchase insurance policies to protect ourselves against hazards that have lower probabilities of occurrence than those.

But seniors who have equity in their homes have another option. They can use the HECM reverse mortgage program to generate an income stream that becomes larger the longer they live. It is urgent to act now because the window for doing these deals will begin to close when interest rates begin their inevitable rise.

This use of the HECM reverse mortgage program as a type of insurance policy employs the credit line feature of the program.  The senior uses her borrowing power to draw the largest line available, and lets the line sit unused until she needs it. The longer the senior lives, the longer the credit line sits unused, and the larger it becomes.  While her financial assets are gradually being depleted, her credit line is getting larger. She draws on the line if she needs the money, otherwise the equity in her house will pass to her estate.

Why the urgency?  The size of the initial HECM credit lines that can be drawn are inversely related to interest rates, while the growth rate of existing unused lines is directly related to rates. Hence, a senior with a specified amount of equity gets the maximum insurance coverage by taking out the HECM while interest rates are still low, and letting it sit unused as rates rise in the future. 

Interest rates have a much larger impact on the initial credit line a senior can command than his age, as illustrate d in Table 1. The senior of 62 with $200,000 of equity in his home can command an initial credit line of $97,800 at the current rate of 5%. If he waits for interest rates to begin their inevitable rise, the credit line will drop precipitously.  At 10%, the initial line available to the same borrower would be $19,000, or 80% less. A borrower of 92 at 10%  cannot command as large a line as a borrower of 62 at 5%.

Table 1: Initial Credit Line on an Adjustable-Rate HECM at Different Expected Interest Rates and Borrower Ages
(Senior Has Initial Homeowner Equity of $200,000)

Expected Interest Rate

Age of Borrower

62

72

82

92

5%

$97,800

$111,200

$127,800

$143,000

6%

$72,000

$86,400

$104,800

$122,600

7%

$55,400

$69,600

$88,800

$108,600

8%

$40,200

$55,000

$75,200

$96,000

9%

$28,800

$42,400

$62,400

$83,600

10%

$19,000

$32,000

$51,400

$72,600

Note: Calculations assume an origination fee of $3,000 and other settlement costs of $4,000.

Keep in mind that mortgage rates were 10% or higher during most of the period 1979-1990.  

An unused credit line grows from month to month at a rate equal to the then-current rate on the HECM plus the mortgage insurance premium. The higher future rates are, therefore the more rapidly the unused line grows. This is illustrated in Table 2, which shows the unused line of the senior from Table 1 on the assumption that he moved fast enough to get an initial line of $97,800 based on the 5% rate. If rates stayed at 5% for 30 years, the borrower would have a line of about $600,000 at that time. But if the rate was 7%, his line would exceed a million, and if the rate was 10%, the line would exceed two million. 

Table 2: Future Unused Credit Line on an Adjustable-Rate HECM at Different ARM Interest Rates

 (Senior of 62 With Initial Homeowner Equity of $200,000)

Initial Line

Based on Rate of 5%

Rate on ARM Over 30 Years

Unused Line After 10 Years

Unused Line After 20 Years

Unused Line After 30 Years

$97,800

5%

$177,700

$381,400

$618,200

$97,800

6%

$195,300

$402,400

$829,100

$97,800

7%

$214,600

$488,400

$1,111,300

$97,800

8%

$235,600

$$592,100

$1,487,100

$97,800

9%

$258,300

$716,800

$1,989,900

$97,800

10%

$282,300

$865,000

$2,650, 400

Note: Calculations assume an origination fee of $3,000 and other settlement costs of $4,000.

HECM borrowers who act while interest rates are still low get the benefit of high initial credit lines, and once they have the HECM they benefit from rising rates in the future because their unused lines will grow at the current rate. This unusual opportunity has never existed before, and may not ever exist again.

In or near retirement? The Professor’s Retirement Funds Integrator (RFI) might enhance your life during retirement.

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